Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected tactical shifts by either team
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:30:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,093
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Brazil vs. Japan match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Brazil 3-2 Japan in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows a low probability (2.65%), indicating skepticism about this exact score. The resolution criteria exclude extra time and penalties, focusing solely on the 90-minute+stoppage time result.
Brazil's historical dominance in World Cup matches against Japan (e.g., 4-1 win in 2014) and their offensive firepower (e.g., Vinícius Jr., Rodrygo) could justify a 3-2 outcome. Japan's defensive vulnerabilities and Brazil's home advantage (if playing in Brazil) further support this scenario.
Japan's disciplined defensive structure (e.g., 2022 World Cup clean sheets against Germany and Spain) and counterattacking prowess make a 3-2 score unlikely. Brazil's defensive frailties and Japan's recent tactical adaptability reduce the probability of a high-scoring draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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