Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation affecting resolution
AI updated 6/29/2026, 5:30:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
5%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,098
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Brazil vs. Japan match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Brazil 1 - 2 Japan has a low probability of 4.95%, indicating skepticism about this exact score occurring in the 2026 FIFA World Cup match. The resolution criteria are strict, excluding extra time and penalties, which further reduces the likelihood of this precise outcome.
Brazil’s attacking prowess and Japan’s defensive vulnerabilities under pressure could lead to a 1-2 scoreline, especially if Japan scores first and Brazil responds with a late goal. Historical World Cup dynamics where underdogs occasionally upset favorites may also support this outcome. Japan’s recent form in tight matches could contribute to a narrow defeat.
Brazil’s dominance in possession and goal-scoring ability makes a 1-2 result unlikely, as they would likely secure a higher-scoring win. Japan’s defensive record in major tournaments suggests they would struggle to concede two goals while scoring one. The market’s low probability reflects these structural advantages for Brazil.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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