Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, security)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:15:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
12%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 8-15
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
5 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Brazil vs. Japan match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a low probability (11.50%) that Brazil and Japan will finish their FIFA World Cup match on June 29, 2026, with an exact score of 1-1. Historical head-to-head data and current team dynamics support this outcome being a plausible but not favored scenario.
Brazil's attacking prowess and home advantage (as host) could lead to a dominant performance, while Japan's disciplined defense might concede only one goal, resulting in a 1-1 draw. Recent form and tactical setups in warm-up matches may favor a balanced encounter.
Brazil's high offensive expectations and Japan's counterattacking style could lead to a higher-scoring draw (e.g., 2-2 or 3-1), making the exact 1-1 outcome less likely. Alternatively, a Brazil victory (e.g., 2-0) or Japan upset (e.g., 1-0) could further reduce the probability of a 1-1 tie.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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