Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or substitution before/early in the match
Calibrated 100% · raw 450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:16:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
+4.5
Opportunity
3.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,092,774
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 450.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayase Ueda records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ayase Ueda records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Ayase Ueda in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ayase Ueda is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ayase Ueda recording 1+ assists in the Brazil vs. Japan FIFA World Cup match on June 29 has a low probability of 12%, indicating skepticism about his assist contribution. The resolution hinges on his in-game performance and official match statistics.
Ayase Ueda's high creativity, midfield positioning, and Japan's attacking style increase the likelihood of assists. If he plays a full 90 minutes and Japan dominates possession, his chance of recording an assist rises significantly.
Ayase Ueda may be marked tightly by Brazil's defense or play a limited role in the match. Japan's recent form or tactical setup could also reduce his assist opportunities, making a 0.5+ assist outcome unlikely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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