Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Sarr's injury status or tactical exclusion by Senegal's coach
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:46:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,173
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismaïla Sarr records more than 1.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ismaïla Sarr records 1.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Ismaïla Sarr in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Ismaïla Sarr in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ismaïla Sarr is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ismaïla Sarr's combined goals + assists in the Belgium vs. Senegal World Cup match is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty about his impact. Senegal's offensive reliance on Sarr and Belgium's defensive vulnerabilities create potential for his involvement, but his individual form and tactical role remain key uncertainties.
Sarr's pace and creativity could exploit Belgium's defensive gaps, especially in transition, leading to goals or assists. Senegal's reliance on his wing play increases his likelihood of contributing to the attack, while Belgium's high defensive line may leave space for counterattacks involving him.
Sarr may be tightly marked by Belgium's defenders, limiting his influence on the game. His form has been inconsistent, and if Senegal struggles to create chances, his goal threat or assist potential could be minimal. Tactical setups by Belgium may neutralize his impact entirely.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.