Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion rendering De Ketelaere inactive
Calibrated 100% · raw 1350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:01:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
33%
ORYN Consensus
20%
Signal Score
-13.5
Opportunity
11.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,470,464
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1350.0¢
Entry: 30-36
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
27 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Charles De Ketelaere records 3+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Charles De Ketelaere scoring 3+ goals in Belgium vs. Senegal (World Cup, July 1) stands at 19.5%, reflecting low probability due to the rarity of such an outcome for a midfielder in a single game. Historical data and player role significantly reduce the likelihood of this event.
De Ketelaere's recent form shows improved finishing and confidence, with a strong chance if Belgium dominates possession and creates high-quality chances. A tactical setup favoring attacking play could increase his goal threat, especially if Senegal's defense is vulnerable to counterattacks.
As a midfielder, De Ketelaere's primary role is playmaking, not goal-scoring, making 3+ goals highly improbable. Belgium's balanced squad depth and Senegal's defensive organization further reduce his chances of such a high-scoring output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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