Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, logistical issues)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:17:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,096,074
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. Senegal match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal is evenly split with a 50% probability, reflecting high uncertainty in the match outcome. Both teams have comparable historical performances, but Senegal's recent form and defensive solidity slightly favor their chances of achieving this exact scoreline.
Senegal's strong defensive record and counter-attacking prowess could see them dominate Belgium, especially if Senegal's forwards capitalize on quick transitions. Belgium's aging squad may struggle with pace, allowing Senegal to secure a 1-3 victory. A high-pressing strategy by Senegal could overwhelm Belgium's midfield.
Belgium's attacking depth and individual brilliance (e.g., De Bruyne, Lukaku) could outclass Senegal's defense, making a 1-3 scoreline unlikely. Senegal's lack of recent tournament experience against elite teams might hinder their ability to maintain such a scoreline. Poor officiating or weather conditions could disrupt Senegal's game plan.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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