Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected red cards
Calibrated 100% · raw 4250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:16:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
8%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+42.5
Opportunity
27.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4250.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. Senegal match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty in the outcome. The match's result will hinge on team form, tactical decisions, and in-game dynamics.
Belgium's stronger squad depth and individual talent could outplay Senegal, especially if key players like Kevin De Bruyne or Romelu Lukaku deliver match-winning performances. A 1-2 scoreline favors Senegal's disciplined defense and counterattacking style, leveraging players like Sadio Mané or Ismaïla Sarr.
Senegal's recent defensive solidity and tactical discipline under Aliou Cissé may neutralize Belgium's attacking threats. Fatigue or injuries to Belgium's stars could shift momentum, while Senegal's set-piece prowess could secure a narrow victory.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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