Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key players before the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:00:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
45%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,200,008
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 42-48
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 1, 2026 If Belgium wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 44.5% chance that Belgium will win their match on July 1, 2026, suggesting a closely contested outcome. The resolution criteria are strictly tied to the official match result within 90 minutes of play.
Belgium's strong squad depth and tactical flexibility under their current manager could secure a victory, especially if key players return from injury. A favorable draw in their group stage may also incentivize high performance. Historical performance against similar-tier opponents supports a bullish outlook.
Belgium's aging core and potential lack of cohesion in high-pressure matches could lead to a defeat. Injuries to star players or a tough draw in the group stage might hinder their chances. Recent underwhelming performances in major tournaments raise doubts about their consistency.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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