Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Sarr
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:45:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,939
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ismaïla Sarr records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ismaïla Sarr records 1.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Ismaïla Sarr in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ismaïla Sarr is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ismaïla Sarr recording 2+ assists in the Belgium vs. Senegal World Cup match is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced outlook. The outcome hinges on Sarr's role in Senegal's attack and Belgium's defensive structure.
Sarr is Senegal's creative midfielder with a history of key passes and assists, particularly in high-pressure matches. Belgium's defense has shown vulnerabilities against pacey wingers, increasing the likelihood of Sarr exploiting spaces. His direct style and set-piece delivery could elevate his assist potential.
Sarr may be limited by Belgium's disciplined midfield, which could neutralize his influence. Senegal's tactical approach might prioritize defensive solidity over attacking flair, reducing Sarr's assist opportunities. Injuries or tactical substitutions could further restrict his playing time.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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