Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected tactical changes by either team
Calibrated 100% · raw 205% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:01:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
7%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,552
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -205.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
27 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Australia and Egypt, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Australia and Egypt combine to score 7 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Australia vs. Egypt Over/Under 6.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match shows a 5.05% probability of the combined score exceeding 6.5. This suggests low market confidence in a high-scoring game, aligning with historical trends of low-scoring matches between non-top-tier teams.
Australia’s aggressive attacking style and Egypt’s occasional defensive lapses could lead to a high-scoring game. If both teams prioritize attacking play, a combined total of 7+ goals is plausible. Historical data for both teams in recent matches also supports a slightly higher likelihood of a higher-scoring game.
Both Australia and Egypt have shown defensive solidity in recent fixtures, with low-scoring outcomes common. Egypt’s disciplined defense and Australia’s lack of a prolific striker reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Weather conditions or tactical approaches favoring defense could further suppress goal totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.