Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:00:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
7%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
26 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cabo Verde" if Cabo Verde win the game by 6 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a low probability (5%) that Cabo Verde will defeat Argentina by 6 or more goals in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match. The outcome heavily favors Argentina, given historical performance and current form.
Cabo Verde could pull off an upset by exploiting defensive weaknesses in Argentina's lineup, capitalizing on counterattacks, or leveraging set-piece opportunities to score 6+ goals. Unlikely but possible if Argentina's star players underperform or face tactical missteps.
Argentina is overwhelmingly favored due to superior squad depth, recent tournament success, and historical dominance over Cabo Verde. A 6+ goal margin for Cabo Verde is statistically improbable given Argentina's defensive record and offensive firepower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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