In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:17:39 AM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for an exact 1-1 draw between Argentina and Cabo Verde in their July 3, 2026 FIFA World Cup match is evenly split at 50.00%, indicating neutral expectations. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, team form, and historical performance.
Argentina's superior squad depth and attacking prowess could dominate Cabo Verde, leading to a 1-1 draw if Cabo Verde scores early and Argentina equalizes late. Cabo Verde's physicality and defensive organization might frustrate Argentina, resulting in a balanced match.
Argentina's high offensive output could overwhelm Cabo Verde, leading to a higher-scoring draw or a non-1-1 result. Cabo Verde's lack of international experience might result in a one-sided match, reducing the likelihood of a 1-1 draw.
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Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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