Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen events
Calibrated 100% · raw 4660% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:17:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
5%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+46.6
Opportunity
30.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4660.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
31 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for an exact 1-1 draw between Argentina and Cabo Verde in their July 3, 2026 FIFA World Cup match is evenly split at 50.00%, indicating neutral expectations. The outcome hinges on match dynamics, team form, and historical performance.
Argentina's superior squad depth and attacking prowess could dominate Cabo Verde, leading to a 1-1 draw if Cabo Verde scores early and Argentina equalizes late. Cabo Verde's physicality and defensive organization might frustrate Argentina, resulting in a balanced match.
Argentina's high offensive output could overwhelm Cabo Verde, leading to a higher-scoring draw or a non-1-1 result. Cabo Verde's lack of international experience might result in a one-sided match, reducing the likelihood of a 1-1 draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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