Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension to key Argentina players
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:17:20 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Argentina vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?' reflects a 50% probability, indicating balanced expectations for the outcome. Historical performance and recent form suggest Argentina's dominance, but Cabo Verde's resilience could yield an upset.
Argentina's superior squad depth, led by top-tier players like Lionel Messi, and historical dominance in international tournaments support a strong bull case. Cabo Verde's defensive structure and counter-attacking style may limit their chances, favoring a 0-1 or 0-0 draw.
Cabo Verde's recent performances in African Cup of Nations and FIFA rankings (higher than 50) suggest potential for an upset. Fatigue or tactical mismatches in Argentina's squad could lead to an unexpected 0-1 victory for Cabo Verde.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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