Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low baseline probability of exact 3-3 outcomes in football
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:30:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
5 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Algeria and Austria, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Algeria vs. Austria match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for an exact 3-3 draw between Algeria and Austria in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows a very low probability (0.60%), reflecting the rarity of such an outcome in international football. Historical data and statistical models strongly favor other scorelines or non-draw results.
A bullish scenario could emerge if both teams adopt attacking tactics, leading to high-scoring play and multiple goals. Algeria's recent offensive form and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities might increase the likelihood of a 3-3 draw, especially if the match is high-tempo.
A bearish outlook is more plausible given the rarity of 3-3 draws in World Cup history (only 1 in 22 editions). Defensive solidity from either side, tactical conservatism, or weather/venue factors could suppress goal-scoring, favoring lower-scoring outcomes like 1-1 or 2-1.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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