In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Algeria and Austria, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Algeria vs. Austria match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Low baseline probability of exact 3-3 outcomes in football
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:30:16 AM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Algeria and Austria, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Algeria vs. Austria match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for an exact 3-3 draw between Algeria and Austria in their 2026 FIFA World Cup match shows a very low probability (0.60%), reflecting the rarity of such an outcome in international football. Historical data and statistical models strongly favor other scorelines or non-draw results.
A bullish scenario could emerge if both teams adopt attacking tactics, leading to high-scoring play and multiple goals. Algeria's recent offensive form and Austria's defensive vulnerabilities might increase the likelihood of a 3-3 draw, especially if the match is high-tempo.
A bearish outlook is more plausible given the rarity of 3-3 draws in World Cup history (only 1 in 22 editions). Defensive solidity from either side, tactical conservatism, or weather/venue factors could suppress goal-scoring, favoring lower-scoring outcomes like 1-1 or 2-1.
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Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.6% while ORYN AI estimates 0.6%.
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