Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential cancellation/rescheduling of the 2026 British GP
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:00:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,828
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
19 points
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Isack Hadjar winning the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 0.35%. This reflects Hadjar's unproven status as a top-tier F1 driver at the time of the prediction.
Hadjar could emerge as a dominant force in F1 by 2026, showcasing consistent podium finishes and outperforming established rivals at the British Grand Prix. A strong pre-season performance or breakthrough mid-season could shift market sentiment.
Hadjar's chances remain minimal due to the dominance of established top drivers like Verstappen, Hamilton, or Leclerc, who are statistically far more likely to win. Team dynamics, mechanical reliability, or Hadjar's own performance inconsistencies could further reduce his odds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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