Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets within the last 24 hours
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 12:47:57 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum price prediction market for ETH/USDT above 1,740 at 10AM ET on July 2 has a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outcome. The 1-hour candle close price on Binance is the sole resolution source, adding specificity but also volatility risks.
Ethereum could surge above 1,740 due to positive market sentiment driven by potential ETH ETF approvals, strong DeFi activity, or broader crypto market rallies. A bullish technical breakout above resistance levels or increased institutional demand may further propel the price.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,740 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed policy tightening) dampen risk appetite, or if negative regulatory news emerges. Technical weakness, low trading volume, or broader market corrections could also cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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