Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Binance-specific liquidity constraints
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:47:48 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum above 1,710 USDT at the close of the July 2, 8AM ET 1-hour candle shows a neutral probability (50%) with no clear directional bias. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment around that specific timeframe.
Ethereum could surge above 1,710 if positive momentum from recent network upgrades (e.g., Dencun fork benefits) or broader crypto market exuberance drives buying pressure. A potential spot ETF approval or macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., Fed dovish signals) could also propel ETH higher.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,710 if profit-taking occurs after recent rallies or if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., hawkish Fed policy) dampen risk appetite. Technical resistance levels or negative sentiment around regulatory uncertainty could cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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