Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility in the hours leading to the resolution could skew the outcome
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:00:46 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
14%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 11-16
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
16 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) to close above $1,700 on July 3 at 12:00 ET shows a low probability of 13.50%, indicating strong bearish sentiment. The market's resolution depends solely on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at the specified time.
Ethereum could surge above $1,700 if broader crypto market sentiment improves due to positive regulatory news, institutional adoption, or a Bitcoin ETF approval. A sudden spike in trading volume or whale activity in the hours leading up to the resolution could also push the price above the threshold.
Ethereum may fail to reach $1,700 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as a stronger-than-expected U.S. dollar, regulatory crackdowns, or a broader crypto market downturn. Low liquidity or a sell-off in altcoins around the resolution time could also keep the price below the target.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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