Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility spikes around macroeconomic events (e.g., CPI releases)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:47:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Ethereum above 1,700 on July 2, 8AM ET' is evenly split with a 50% probability, indicating high uncertainty. The resolution hinges on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close at the specified time.
Ethereum could surge above 1,700 due to strong market sentiment, institutional adoption, or a positive regulatory shift in key markets like the US. A potential spot ETF approval or macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., Fed rate cuts) could fuel a rally.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,700 if bearish macroeconomic conditions persist (e.g., high interest rates) or if regulatory crackdowns (e.g., SEC actions) dampen investor confidence. Technical resistance or profit-taking could also cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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