Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to unpredictable price swings
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 1:46:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) above 1,660 on July 2 at 11AM ET is balanced, with a 50% probability assigned by the prediction market. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment around the specified time.
Ethereum could surpass 1,660 if there is a positive shift in market sentiment, driven by factors such as increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory news, or a broader crypto market rally. Additionally, technical indicators like a breakout above key resistance levels could propel the price higher.
Ethereum may fail to reach 1,660 if market sentiment deteriorates due to negative regulatory actions, macroeconomic headwinds, or a broader crypto market downturn. Technical factors, such as a failure to break key support levels, could also weigh on the price.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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