Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Binance-specific liquidity constraints
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:49:43 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Ethereum and Bitcoin price movements are often correlated, so Ethereum above 1,650 on June 29, 10AM ET may be related to Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? and Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?
correlates · strength 60%
Cryptocurrency market volatility can be influenced by global events, but the provided options do not have a direct relationship with Ethereum's price, except for Bitcoin-related markets
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,544,195
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) closing above $1,650 on June 29 at 10AM ET is evenly split, with a 50% probability. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment around that time.
Ethereum could surge above $1,650 if there is a positive catalyst such as a bullish macroeconomic event, increased institutional adoption, or a favorable regulatory development. Strong technical momentum or whale accumulation could also push the price higher.
Ethereum may fail to reach $1,650 if a negative catalyst emerges, such as regulatory crackdowns, market-wide sell-offs, or a decline in network activity. Macro conditions like a stronger USD or risk-off sentiment could also suppress the price.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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