Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets due to macroeconomic uncertainty
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:49:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,650 at 1 AM ET on June 28 shows a 50% probability, indicating high uncertainty. The neutrality reflects balanced bullish and bearish forces in the short-term crypto market dynamics.
Ethereum could surpass 1,650 if Bitcoin maintains upward momentum post-halving rally, or if institutional demand for ETH derivatives surges ahead of the Dencun upgrade's long-term benefits. A potential spot ETF approval or positive regulatory clarity in the U.S. could also trigger a breakout.
A rejection below 1,650 is plausible if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed rate hikes) dampen risk appetite, or if technical resistance at key moving averages (e.g., 50-hour EMA) holds. Negative sentiment around regulatory crackdowns or macroeconomic downturns could exacerbate downside pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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