This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Regulatory actions affecting Ethereum or Binance
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:46:07 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,640 on June 26 at 10PM ET shows a neutral 50% probability, reflecting balanced expectations. The resolution depends on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close at the specified time.
Ethereum could surge above 1,640 if bullish momentum from recent network upgrades (e.g., Dencun) or macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., dovish Fed signals) materialize. High institutional demand or a broader crypto rally could also drive the price higher.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,640 if market sentiment sours due to regulatory uncertainty, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., recession fears), or technical resistance levels holding. Low trading volumes or profit-taking could further suppress the price.
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Ethereum above 1,640 on June 26, 10PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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