Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Price volatility leading up to the resolution time
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:47:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,275,694
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum being above $1,630 at the specified resolution time has a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution depends on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close price at 2 AM ET on July 1, with no significant skew favoring bulls or bears.
Ethereum could trade above $1,630 if there is a positive shift in market sentiment driven by broader crypto market rallies, institutional adoption signals, or favorable regulatory developments in key markets like the US or Asia. Technical breakouts above resistance levels could also fuel momentum.
Ethereum may fail to reach $1,630 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed policy tightening, risk-off sentiment) or negative regulatory news dampen demand. A technical rejection at key resistance levels or broader market corrections could also push the price below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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