Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility spikes due to external shocks (e.g., geopolitical events)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 10:47:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,157,562
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum above 1,620 USDT by June 30, 8PM ET shows a neutral probability (50%), indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution depends solely on Binance's ETH/USDT hourly candle close at the specified time.
Ethereum could surge above 1,620 if broader crypto sentiment improves due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, regulatory clarity, or increased institutional adoption. A potential spot ETF approval or strong network upgrades (e.g., Dencun) could also drive upward momentum.
Ethereum may fail to breach 1,620 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., recession fears, high interest rates) dampen risk appetite. Regulatory crackdowns, technical failures, or a broader crypto market downturn could also suppress prices.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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