Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (SEC or other agencies)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:48:03 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,815,391
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,620 at 4AM ET on June 30 shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution is tied strictly to Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close, reducing cross-exchange variability risks.
Ethereum could surpass 1,620 if macroeconomic sentiment improves (e.g., Fed dovish signals) or if ETH spot ETF approvals gain momentum, driving institutional demand. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels (e.g., $1,600) may also trigger momentum-driven buying.
Downside risks include regulatory scrutiny (e.g., SEC actions) or broader crypto market downturns, which could suppress ETH below 1,620. Additionally, high network fees or staking yield declines might reduce speculative interest.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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