Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:49:15 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,543,755
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,610 on June 29 at 9AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The outcome hinges on short-term price movements influenced by macroeconomic data, regulatory news, and market sentiment in the Asia-Pacific region.
Ethereum could close above 1,610 if risk appetite improves due to dovish signals from major central banks (e.g., the Fed or PBOC) or positive regulatory developments in APAC. Additionally, a sustained rally in Bitcoin or a surge in DeFi activity could drive ETH prices higher. Technical breakouts above resistance levels (e.g., 1,600) may also trigger bullish momentum.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,610 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data or hawkish Fed signals) dampen risk sentiment. Regulatory crackdowns in APAC (e.g., China or South Korea) or a broader crypto market downturn could suppress prices. Technical resistance at 1,600 or low trading volumes might also limit upward movement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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