This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Exchange-specific volatility (Binance-specific risks)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:50:04 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The Ethereum price prediction market for above 1,610 USDT on June 26 at 1PM ET shows a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear consensus on near-term price movement. The resolution depends on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close, introducing exchange-specific volatility risks.
Bullish momentum could push Ethereum above 1,610 if broader crypto sentiment improves, driven by institutional adoption or positive regulatory news in key markets like the US or Singapore. Technical breakouts above resistance levels (e.g., 1,600) may trigger short-term FOMO buying.
A bearish scenario could see Ethereum fail to sustain above 1,610 due to macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed rate hikes, risk-off sentiment) or negative Ethereum-specific developments (e.g., network congestion, delayed ETF approvals). Exchange liquidity constraints on Binance could exacerbate price slippage.
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Ethereum above 1,610 on June 26, 1PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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