Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific volatility (Binance-specific risks, e.g., liquidity constraints)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:47:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% probability that Ethereum's price on Binance (ETH/USDT) will close above $1,610 in the 1-hour candle ending July 2 at 5AM ET. This reflects a neutral expectation with no clear directional bias.
Ethereum could close above $1,610 if positive macroeconomic sentiment (e.g., U.S. inflation data improving) or Ethereum-specific catalysts (e.g., ETF approvals, network upgrades) drive buying pressure. Technical breakouts above resistance levels may also trigger momentum buying.
Ethereum may fail to surpass $1,610 if broader market sentiment sours (e.g., risk-off conditions, regulatory crackdowns) or Ethereum-specific headwinds emerge (e.g., network congestion, staking withdrawals). A rejection at key resistance levels could lead to profit-taking.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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