Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific price manipulation or anomalies
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:48:50 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Ethereum and Bitcoin price movements are often correlated, so Ethereum above 1,600 on June 28, 1AM ET may be related to Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? and Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
correlates · strength 60%
Cryptocurrency market volatility can be influenced by global geopolitical events, thus Ethereum price may have an indirect relationship with Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum above 1,600 at the specified time shows a balanced probability of 50%, indicating no clear directional bias. The resolution hinges on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close, introducing potential volatility from exchange-specific liquidity and price discrepancies.
Ethereum could surpass 1,600 due to a sustained upward trend driven by bullish market sentiment, increased institutional adoption, or positive regulatory news in the Asia-Pacific region. High trading volume during the specified hour could amplify price movements.
Ethereum may fail to reach 1,600 if bearish sentiment dominates, triggered by macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory crackdowns in key markets like China or South Korea, or a sudden sell-off in major exchanges. Low liquidity during the specified hour could exacerbate downward pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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