This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to sudden price swings
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:00:40 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
8%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,580 on June 26 at 8PM ET has a low probability of 9.00%, indicating significant skepticism among traders about ETH reaching this price level within the specified timeframe.
ETH could surge above 1,580 if a major bullish catalyst occurs, such as a favorable regulatory decision for Ethereum staking, a strong ETH ETF approval, or a broader crypto market rally driven by Bitcoin's price surge. Additionally, if macroeconomic conditions improve (e.g., Fed rate cuts), risk assets like ETH may benefit.
ETH may fail to reach 1,580 due to persistent macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader market downturn. If Bitcoin consolidates or declines, Ethereum could follow suit, especially given its correlation with BTC. Short-term technical resistance around 1,550-1,580 could also cap gains.
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Ethereum above 1,580 on June 26, 8PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 9% while ORYN AI estimates 8%.
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