Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to sudden price swings
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:00:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
8%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Ethereum and Bitcoin price correlation: If Ethereum is above 1,580, it may indicate a positive trend for Bitcoin, potentially influencing its price to stay above $40,000.
correlates · strength 60%
Cryptocurrency market sentiment: A high Ethereum price could boost overall market sentiment, positively affecting the launch and valuation of new projects like Predict.fun, and increasing the likelihood of successful loan repayments in the crypto space.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,580 on June 26 at 8PM ET has a low probability of 9.00%, indicating significant skepticism among traders about ETH reaching this price level within the specified timeframe.
ETH could surge above 1,580 if a major bullish catalyst occurs, such as a favorable regulatory decision for Ethereum staking, a strong ETH ETF approval, or a broader crypto market rally driven by Bitcoin's price surge. Additionally, if macroeconomic conditions improve (e.g., Fed rate cuts), risk assets like ETH may benefit.
ETH may fail to reach 1,580 due to persistent macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader market downturn. If Bitcoin consolidates or declines, Ethereum could follow suit, especially given its correlation with BTC. Short-term technical resistance around 1,550-1,580 could also cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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