Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data source reliability (Binance API or UI discrepancies)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:47:15 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,748
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum (ETH/USDT) prediction market for a close price above 1,580 on July 2 at 5AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution is contingent on Binance's 1-hour candle closing price at the specified time.
Ethereum could surpass 1,580 if bullish momentum persists, driven by potential positive sentiment from Ethereum ETF approvals, strong network activity, or broader crypto market rallies. Technical breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., 1,600) may trigger short-term buying pressure.
Ethereum may fail to close above 1,580 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed policy shifts, risk-off sentiment) or Ethereum-specific bearish factors (e.g., network congestion, staking withdrawals) weigh on prices. A rejection near resistance could lead to a pullback.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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