Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Binance-specific price manipulation risk
Calibrated 100% · raw 695% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:00:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
7%
Signal Score
+7.0
Opportunity
5.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,350,973
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 695.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,570 on June 28 at 10PM ET shows a low probability (7%) of occurrence, indicating strong market skepticism. The resolution depends solely on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close price.
Ethereum could surpass 1,570 if a bullish momentum surge occurs, driven by positive regulatory news, spot ETF approvals, or a broader crypto market rally. Increased institutional adoption or a DeFi/Tokens season could also push prices higher.
A bearish scenario would see Ethereum fail to reach 1,570 due to macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory crackdowns, or a prolonged bear market. Technical resistance or a market-wide sell-off could also cap gains below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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