Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected macroeconomic shocks (e.g., recession fears, geopolitical events)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:45:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,346,793
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split on whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) will close above 1,570 at 7AM ET on July 1, reflecting high uncertainty. Price action will depend on broader crypto market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and Ethereum-specific catalysts.
Bullish momentum could push ETH above 1,570 if Bitcoin (BTC) breaks resistance, Ethereum ETF approvals gain traction, or network activity (e.g., gas fees, DeFi TVL) surges. Positive regulatory clarity or institutional adoption could also fuel upward momentum.
A bearish scenario could see ETH fail to break 1,570 due to macro headwinds (e.g., Fed rate hike expectations, risk-off sentiment), regulatory crackdowns, or technical resistance. A broader crypto market downturn or Ethereum-specific sell pressure (e.g., staking withdrawals) could cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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