Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility from external shocks (e.g., geopolitical events)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:48:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,961,577
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) closing above $1,560 on June 29 at 10AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear consensus. The resolution hinges on Binance's ETH/USDT hourly candle close, ensuring a single-source verification.
Ethereum could surpass $1,560 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Federal Reserve pivot or sustained institutional adoption. Additionally, a potential Ethereum ETF approval or strong network activity (e.g., DeFi, NFTs) could drive upward momentum.
A bearish reversal could occur if regulatory uncertainty escalates (e.g., SEC actions) or macroeconomic headwinds persist (e.g., high inflation, recession fears). Weak network fundamentals or profit-taking after a recent rally may also push ETH below $1,560.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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