Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Price manipulation or low liquidity near the threshold
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:48:16 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,139,649
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,560 at 12PM ET on June 28 shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution relies on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close, ensuring a single-source, verifiable metric.
Ethereum could close above 1,560 if bullish momentum persists, driven by factors such as ETF approvals, increased network activity, or positive macroeconomic sentiment. A sustained rally in Bitcoin or broader crypto markets may also propel ETH higher. Technical breakouts or whale accumulation could reinforce this trend.
Ethereum may fail to reach 1,560 if selling pressure dominates due to regulatory uncertainty, macroeconomic headwinds, or profit-taking after recent rallies. A broader crypto market downturn or technical rejection at resistance levels could cap gains. Exchange outflows or liquidity constraints might also pressure prices.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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