Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory changes or crackdowns in major markets
AI updated 7/1/2026, 1:46:52 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,208,782
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum above 1,550 USDT on June 30 at 11PM ET shows a neutral 50% probability, indicating equal likelihood of the price closing above or below the threshold. The resolution depends solely on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle closing price at the specified time.
Ethereum could close above 1,550 if market sentiment improves due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, increased institutional adoption, or a Bitcoin ETF approval rally. A sustained uptrend in DeFi and NFT activity may also drive demand. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels could reinforce bullish momentum.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,550 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as rising interest rates or regulatory uncertainty. A broader crypto market downturn, profit-taking after rallies, or negative sentiment around Ethereum upgrades could suppress prices. Short-term volatility or exchange liquidity issues may also cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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