Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected regulatory crackdowns (e.g., SEC vs. crypto exchanges)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:48:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,544,195
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,550 at 9AM ET on June 29 shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The neutral probability reflects uncertainty in short-term price action amid mixed macroeconomic and crypto-specific factors.
Ethereum could surpass 1,550 if risk appetite improves due to a dovish Fed pivot, sustained institutional demand, or positive regulatory clarity. A breakout in DeFi activity, NFT trading volumes, or Layer 2 adoption could also drive upward momentum. Technical breakout above resistance levels (e.g., 1,520–1,530) may trigger short-covering and momentum buying.
Ethereum may fail to breach 1,550 if macro headwinds persist, such as a hawkish Fed stance, recession fears, or broader risk-off sentiment. Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., SEC actions) or a decline in on-chain activity could weaken demand. A rejection at key resistance levels (e.g., 1,520–1,530) could lead to a pullback toward 1,480–1,500.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
