Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., SEC actions, global crypto laws)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:48:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,963,162
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum (ETH/USDT) prediction market for a price above 1,550 on June 29 at 10AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outlook with no clear directional bias. The market's neutral stance reflects balanced risk perceptions between bullish and bearish scenarios.
Ethereum could surpass 1,550 if broader crypto sentiment improves due to macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., Fed rate cuts, institutional adoption) or Ethereum-specific catalysts (e.g., ETF approvals, Layer 2 growth). Technical breakout above resistance levels (e.g., $1,600) could trigger short-term momentum.
ETH may fail to breach 1,550 if macro conditions remain restrictive (e.g., high interest rates, regulatory crackdowns) or if Ethereum faces technical resistance (e.g., failed breakout from $1,500-$1,550 range). Bearish trends in Bitcoin or altcoins could also weigh on ETH.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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