Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to sudden reversals
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:48:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
964,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,550 at 1AM ET on June 28 shows a balanced probability of 50%, indicating uncertainty. The outcome depends on short-term price movements driven by market sentiment, macroeconomic factors, and technical trading patterns.
Bullish momentum could push ETH above 1,550 if positive regulatory news (e.g., Ethereum ETF approvals), strong whale accumulation, or broader crypto market rallies occur. Technical breakouts above resistance levels (e.g., 1,500) may trigger automated buying, reinforcing upward pressure.
A bearish scenario could see ETH fail to sustain above 1,550 due to profit-taking after recent rallies, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., Fed policy shifts), or negative sentiment from broader equity market declines. Weak volume or rejection at resistance could lead to a pullback.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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