Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility in broader crypto markets (e.g., Bitcoin price swings)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:46:59 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,550 on July 2 at 5AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outcome with no clear directional bias. The market is balanced between bullish and bearish sentiment, reflecting equal odds of surpassing or failing to meet the threshold.
Ethereum could close above 1,550 if bullish momentum persists, driven by positive macroeconomic signals, increased institutional adoption, or favorable regulatory developments in key markets like the U.S. or Asia. A potential Ethereum ETF approval or strong network activity (e.g., DeFi usage, NFT trading) could also fuel upward price pressure.
Ethereum may fail to close above 1,550 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., recession fears, high interest rates) dampen risk appetite or if regulatory crackdowns in major markets (e.g., China, U.S.) reduce market participation. Technical resistance levels or profit-taking after a prolonged rally could also cap gains.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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