Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory shocks or negative news
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:48:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,544,195
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) closing above 1,540 USDT on June 29 at 10AM ET shows a near-neutral probability of 50.00%. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment within the next 24 hours.
Ethereum could surge above 1,540 if bullish momentum from recent macroeconomic optimism (e.g., potential Fed rate cuts or ETF approvals) drives demand. Additionally, if on-chain activity or DeFi usage spikes, it may trigger a breakout. Technical indicators like RSI or moving averages could also support upward movement.
Ethereum may fail to cross 1,540 if bearish sentiment prevails due to regulatory uncertainty, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data), or profit-taking after recent rallies. A drop in trading volume or negative sentiment on social media could weaken upward pressure.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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