This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty (e.g., SEC actions, global crypto policies)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:49:23 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,540 at 1PM ET on June 26 shows an even probability split at 50.00%. The market reflects uncertainty driven by recent volatility in crypto markets and mixed technical indicators.
Ethereum could surge above 1,540 if Bitcoin stabilizes around current levels and altcoins follow a recovery trend. A potential spot ETH ETF approval or positive macroeconomic sentiment (e.g., Fed dovish signals) could trigger a short-term rally. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels (e.g., 1,500) may also accelerate buying momentum.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,540 if broader market sentiment remains risk-off due to regulatory concerns or macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data, Fed hawkishness). A breakdown below 1,450 could signal further downside pressure. Additionally, low liquidity or exchange-specific issues on Binance may distort price movements.
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Ethereum above 1,540 on June 26, 1PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
