This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility in broader crypto markets
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:33:02 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) closing above 1,530 USDT on June 26 at 5PM ET shows a neutral stance with an even probability split. The outcome hinges on short-term price movements influenced by macroeconomic factors and crypto market sentiment.
Ethereum could surge above 1,530 if there is a positive shift in market sentiment, driven by factors such as Bitcoin ETF approvals, institutional adoption, or favorable regulatory news in key markets like the US or Asia. Strong technical momentum or a broader crypto rally could also push ETH higher.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,530 if market conditions deteriorate due to macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., inflation data, Fed policy), regulatory crackdowns, or negative sentiment in the crypto space. A prolonged downturn in Bitcoin or altcoins could also suppress ETH's price.
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Ethereum above 1,530 on June 26, 5PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
