This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Price manipulation risks on Binance (e.g., low liquidity spikes)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:01:46 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.5
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) closing above 1,530 USDT on June 26 at 4PM ET shows a current probability of 50%, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution depends solely on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close price at the specified time.
Ethereum could rise above 1,530 due to positive market sentiment driven by potential ETF approvals, increased DeFi activity, or broader crypto market rallies. Technical breakouts from key resistance levels or strong institutional buying could also push the price higher.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,530 if macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader crypto market downturn emerge. Technical failures to break resistance or profit-taking after a recent rally could also cap gains.
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Ethereum above 1,530 on June 26, 4PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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