Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to sudden price swings
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:48:09 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,093,189
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum (ETH/USDT) prediction market for a price above 1,520 at 9AM ET on June 28 shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outcome with no clear directional bias. The market is balanced between bullish and bearish sentiment, reflecting balanced trading activity or low conviction in either direction.
Ethereum could surge above 1,520 if there is a positive catalyst such as a major DeFi protocol launch, institutional adoption news, or a broader crypto market rally driven by Bitcoin's price movement. Additionally, if macroeconomic conditions improve (e.g., lower inflation expectations), risk assets like Ethereum may benefit from increased investor appetite.
Ethereum may fail to surpass 1,520 if there is a negative regulatory development, a security breach in a major DeFi protocol, or a broader market downturn. Additionally, if Ethereum's network activity (e.g., gas fees or transaction volume) declines, it could signal weakening demand and push prices lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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