Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory changes affecting crypto markets
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:47:38 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,331,250
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,520 on June 28 at 10PM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The market's neutrality suggests equal confidence in both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Ethereum could exceed 1,520 if strong institutional demand or a major DeFi protocol upgrade drives buying pressure. A potential spot ETH ETF approval or positive macroeconomic sentiment (e.g., Fed rate cut expectations) may also support upward momentum. Technical breakout above key resistance levels could trigger a short squeeze.
Ethereum may fail to reach 1,520 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., hawkish Fed policy) dampen risk appetite. Regulatory uncertainty or a security breach in a major exchange could erode confidence. A prolonged Bitcoin correction or miner capitulation might drag ETH lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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