Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:47:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,815,726
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,510 on June 30 at 4AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced sentiment with no clear directional bias. The market is highly sensitive to short-term volatility and external macroeconomic factors affecting cryptocurrency prices.
A bullish scenario could materialize if Ethereum's network activity (e.g., DeFi usage, layer-2 adoption) surges, or if broader crypto market sentiment improves due to regulatory clarity or institutional adoption. Additionally, a potential Ethereum ETF approval or strong macroeconomic tailwinds (e.g., risk-on market sentiment) could drive ETH above 1,510.
A bearish outcome is plausible if Ethereum faces regulatory headwinds, a broader crypto market downturn, or if macroeconomic conditions (e.g., rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions) dampen risk appetite. Technical resistance levels or profit-taking by traders could also cap ETH's price below 1,510.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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