Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Flash crashes due to low liquidity in ETH/USDT pair
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:47:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,905
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The Ethereum price prediction market for exceeding 1,510 USDT on June 28 at 10PM ET shows a balanced 50% probability, reflecting high uncertainty in short-term price movements. The outcome hinges on macroeconomic factors, Ethereum-specific catalysts, and market sentiment within the next 48 hours.
Ethereum could surge above 1,510 USDT if a dovish Federal Reserve signal boosts risk assets, or if a major DeFi protocol launch or ETF approval announcement drives speculative trading. Additionally, a sustained breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., 1,500 USDT) could trigger short-covering and momentum buying.
A hawkish Fed stance, regulatory crackdown on crypto, or broader market downturn (e.g., equities sell-off) could suppress Ethereum below 1,510 USDT. Technical resistance at 1,500 USDT and low trading volumes may also limit upward momentum, leading to a rejection.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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